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Early tokens

Early token scoring

The dedicated early-token score components, the deterministic final formula, and the blocking rules that override it.

Early tokens need a dedicated scoring model. The components reward launch quality and momentum, and penalize security, sellability and data-uncertainty risk.

Score components

ScoreMeasures
Launch viabilityIs the launch becoming a real market? (liquidity, buyer/tx growth, migration, unique wallets)
Early momentumShort-term acceleration (price/volume velocity & acceleration, buy pressure, holder & social velocity)
SecurityTechnical/behavioral risk (permissions, creator behavior, removal risk, concentration, malicious patterns)
SellabilityRealistic exit feasibility (simulated sell, exit slippage, liquidity, restrictions)
MemorySimilarity to historical launches (winners, rugs, false pumps, sustainable, bot-dominated, migrations)
AI interpretationQualitative context (narrative, identity, social authenticity, event significance, contrary evidence)
ExecutionCan an order be submitted and filled under acceptable conditions?

The deterministic final score

final early opportunity score
Final Early Opportunity Score =
    Launch Viability + Early Momentum + Memory Similarity
  + AI Interpretation + Execution Feasibility
  - Security Risk - Sellability Risk - Data Uncertainty

The formula is versioned and tested. The LLM supplies structured evidence and classifications; it never writes the number — that is deterministic code.

Blocking rules override the score

An excellent momentum score must never override a hard safety block:

  • confirmed honeypot
  • failed sell simulation
  • prohibited contract function
  • creator removing liquidity
  • liquidity below minimum
  • sell slippage above maximum
  • unsupported chain state
  • stale market data
  • execution engine unavailable
  • duplicate order
  • kill switch active
  • risk state halted / emergency
Safety beats score
Blocking rules are evaluated independently of the score and recorded as blocking_reasons on the score snapshot. No quantitative signal can buy past a confirmed safety failure.